Methods of Construction of Indices and Test of Adequacy

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Methods of Construction of Indices and Test of Adequacy

 

1.     Methods of Construction of Index Numbers

There are different ways of construction of index numbers. In general, construction of index number if further available for the division in two parts: Simple and Weighted. Furthermore, the simple method is classified into simple aggregative and simple relative. Similarly, the weighted method is classified into weighted aggregative and weight average of relative. The following chart illustrates the various methods.

 

v  UNWEIGHTED OR SIMPLE INDEX NUMBER

An unweighted or simple price index number measures the percentage change in price of a single item or a group of items between two periods of time. In unweighted index number, all the values taken for study are of equal importance. There are two methods in this category:

1)    Simple Aggregative Method

2)    Simple Average of Price Relatives Method

Simple aggregative method:

Under this method the prices of different items of current year are added and the total is divided by the sum of prices of the base year items and multiplied by 100. The following formula is used:

                P01 =

∑p1 = Aggregate of Prices in Current year

 ∑p0 = aggregate of Prices in Base year

 P01 = Price Index number

Example 1.  Construct the Price Index Number for the year 1997, from the following information taking 1996 as base y ear.

Commodity

Price in 2022 (Nu)

Price in 2013 (Nu)

A

50

80

B

40

60

 C

10

20

D

5

10

E

2

8

Methods of Construction of Indices and Test of Adequacy

 

1.     Methods of Construction of Index Numbers

There are different ways of construction of index numbers. In general, construction of index number if further available for the division in two parts: Simple and Weighted. Furthermore, the simple method is classified into simple aggregative and simple relative. Similarly, the weighted method is classified into weighted aggregative and weight average of relative. The following chart illustrates the various methods.

 

v  UNWEIGHTED OR SIMPLE INDEX NUMBER

An unweighted or simple price index number measures the percentage change in price of a single item or a group of items between two periods of time. In unweighted index number, all the values taken for study are of equal importance. There are two methods in this category:

1)    Simple Aggregative Method

2)    Simple Average of Price Relatives Method

Simple aggregative method:

Under this method the prices of different items of current year are added and the total is divided by the sum of prices of the base year items and multiplied by 100. The following formula is used:

                P01 =

∑p1 = Aggregate of Prices in Current year

 ∑p0 = aggregate of Prices in Base year

 P01 = Price Index number

Example 1.  Construct the Price Index Number for the year 1997, from the following information taking 1996 as base y ear.

Commodity

Price in 2022 (Nu)

Price in 2013 (Nu)

A

50

80

B

40

60

 C

10

20

D

5

10

E

2

8

Methods of Construction of Indices and Test of Adequacy

 

1.     Methods of Construction of Index Numbers

There are different ways of construction of index numbers. In general, construction of index number if further available for the division in two parts: Simple and Weighted. Furthermore, the simple method is classified into simple aggregative and simple relative. Similarly, the weighted method is classified into weighted aggregative and weight average of relative. The following chart illustrates the various methods.

 

v  UNWEIGHTED OR SIMPLE INDEX NUMBER

An unweighted or simple price index number measures the percentage change in price of a single item or a group of items between two periods of time. In unweighted index number, all the values taken for study are of equal importance. There are two methods in this category:

1)    Simple Aggregative Method

2)    Simple Average of Price Relatives Method

Simple aggregative method:

Under this method the prices of different items of current year are added and the total is divided by the sum of prices of the base year items and multiplied by 100. The following formula is used:

                P01 =

∑p1 = Aggregate of Prices in Current year

 ∑p0 = aggregate of Prices in Base year

 P01 = Price Index number

Example 1.  Construct the Price Index Number for the year 1997, from the following information taking 1996 as base y ear.

Commodity

Price in 2022 (Nu)

Price in 2013 (Nu)

A

50

80

B

40

60

 C

10

20

D

5

10

E

2

8

       Solution:  Construction of Price Index:

Commodity

Price in 2013 (Nu)

Price in 2022 (Nu)

A

50

80

B

40

60

C

10

20

D

5

10

E

2

8

 

∑p0 = 107

∑p1 = 178

          

            

                 P01 =

                      =

                      = 166.36%

         Price Index in 2022, when compared to 2013 has fallen by 66.36%.

Simple Average of Price Relative Method

In this method, first of all, the price relatives of the commodities or items are found out. To compute the price relatives, price in current year (p1) is divided by the price in base year (p0) and then, the quotient is multiplied with 100. In terms of formula:

                      Price Relative =

                                              Or

                                                P =

After this, using Arithmetic average and Geometric average, we find the average of price relatives.

(i)    When Arithmetic mean is used, then the following formula is used:

 

                           P01 =

                where, N = number of items or commodities.

(ii)  When Geometric mean is used, then the following formula is used:

 

                         P01 = antilog

Example 2. Compute price index number by simple average of price relatives method using arithmetic mean and geometric mean.

 

 

Item

Price in 2010 (Nu)

Price in 2011 (Nu)

A

6

10

B

2

2

C

4

6

D

10

12

E

8

12

 

Solution:  Calculation of price index number by simple average of price relatives:

Item

Price in 2010 (Nu)

Price in 2011 (Nu)

P =

A

6

10

166.7

2.2201

B

2

2

100

2

C

4

6

150

2.1761

D

10

12

120

2.0792

E

8

12

150

2.1761

 

 

 

∑p = 686.7

 = 10.6515

 

(i) Price relative index number based on arithmetic mean:

P01 =

                  =

                  =

                  = 137.34

(ii) Price relative index number based on geometric mean:

P01 = antilog  or P01 = antilog

      = antilog

                  = antilog (2.13303)

                  = 134.9

Hence, the price index numbers based on arithmetic mean and geometric mean for the year 2011 are 137.34 and 134.9 respectively.

 

v  WEIGHTED INDEX NUMBERS

In computing weighted Index Numbers, the weights are assigned to the items to bring out their economic importance. Generally quanties consumed or values are used as weights. Weighted index numbers are also of two types:

          I.         Weighted Aggregative

        II.         Weighted Average of Price Relatives

Weighted Aggregate Index Numbers

In this method price of each commodity is weighted by the quantity sale either in the base year or in the current year. There are various methods of assigning weights and thus there are many methods of constructing index numbers. Some of the important formulae used under these methods are:

a.     Laspeyre’s Index (P01L)  

b.     Paasche’s Index (P01P)                      

c.     Dorbish and Bowley’s Index (P01DB)

d.     Fisher’s Ideal Index (P01F)

e.     Marshall-Edgeworth Index (P01Em)

f.      Kelly’s Index (P01K)

 

a)    Laspeyre’s method

The base period quantities are taken as weights the index is

 

               P01L =

 

 

b)    Paasche’s method

The current year quantities are taken as a weight. In this method, we use continuously revised weights and thus this method is not frequently used when the number of commodities is large. The Index is

 

               P01P =

 

c)     Dorbish and Bowley’s method

In order in take into account the impact of both the base and current year, we make use of simple arithmetic mean of Laspeyre’s and Paasche’s formula. The index is

                    P01DB =

                              =

d)    Fisher’s ideal method

It is the geometric mean of Laspeyre’s Index and Paasche’s Index, given by:

                                P01F =

                                        =  

e)      Marshall-Edgeworth method

In this method also the current year as well as base year prices and quantities are considered. The Index is

 

                      P01ME =

 

                                 =

f)     Kelly’s method

  The Kelly’s Index is

 

                     P01K =                                 

 

Where, q refers to quantity of some period, not necessarily of the mean of the base year and current year. It is also possible to use average quantity of two or more years as weights. This method is known as fixed weight aggregative index.

 

Example 3. Construct weighted aggregate index numbers of price from the following data by applying

1.     Laspeyre’s method

2.     Paasche’s method

3.     Dorbish and Bowley’s method

4.     Fisher’s ideal method

5.     Marshall-Edgeworth method

 

 

Commodity

2016

2017

Price

Quantity

Price

Quantity

A

2

8

4

6

B

5

10

6

5

C

4

14

5

10

D

2

19

2

13

 

Solution: calculation of various indices

 

Commodity

2016

2017

 

p1q0

 

p0q0

 

p1q1

 

p0q1

Price (p0)

Quantity (q0)

Price (p1)

Quantity (q1)

A

2

8

4

6

32

16

24

12

B

5

10

6

5

60

50

30

25

C

4

14

5

10

70

56

50

40

D

2

19

2

13

38

38

26

26

 

 

 

 

 

∑p1q0=200

∑p0q0=160

∑p1q1=130

∑p0q1=103

 

 

(1)  Laspeyre’s method

 

P01L =

      

       =  

     

       = 125

(2)  Paasche’s method

 

P01P =

 

        =

        

        = 126.21

(3)  Dorbish and Bowley’s method

              P01DB =

           =

 

         = 125.6

(4)  Fisher’s Ideal index

P01F =                                                           

   

      =                         

                 = 125.61

(5)  Marshall-Edgeworth method

 

P01ME =

        

        =

        

        =

       

         = 125.48  

 

Commodity

 

Quantity

Price

2007

2010

X

25

3

4

Y

12

5

7

Z

10

6

5

Example 4. Calculate a suitable price index form the following data.

 

Solution:  In this problem, the quantities for both current year and base year are same. Hence, we can conclude Kelly’s Index price number.

 

 

Commodity

 

Quantity

(q)

Price

 

p0q

 

p1q

2007

(p0)

2010

(p1)

X

25

3

4

75

100

Y

12

5

7

60

84

Z

10

6

5

60

50

 

 

 

 

∑p0q=195

∑p1q=234

 

    P01K =

           =

             = 120

Weighted Average of Price Relative Method

The price relatives for the current year are calculated on the basis of the base year prices. These price relative are multiplied by the respective weights of the items. These products are added up and then divided by the sum of weights.

(ii) Price relative index number based on geometric mean:

P01 = antilog  or P01 = antilog

      = antilog

                  = antilog (2.13303)

                  = 134.9

Hence, the price index numbers based on arithmetic mean and geometric mean for the year 2011 are 137.34 and 134.9 respectively.

 

v  WEIGHTED INDEX NUMBERS

In computing weighted Index Numbers, the weights are assigned to the items to bring out their economic importance. Generally quanties consumed or values are used as weights. Weighted index numbers are also of two types:

          I.         Weighted Aggregative

        II.         Weighted Average of Price Relatives

Weighted Aggregate Index Numbers

In this method price of each commodity is weighted by the quantity sale either in the base year or in the current year. There are various methods of assigning weights and thus there are many methods of constructing index numbers. Some of the important formulae used under these methods are:

a.     Laspeyre’s Index (P01L)  

b.     Paasche’s Index (P01P)                      

c.     Dorbish and Bowley’s Index (P01DB)

d.     Fisher’s Ideal Index (P01F)

e.     Marshall-Edgeworth Index (P01Em)

f.      Kelly’s Index (P01K)

 

a)    Laspeyre’s method

The base period quantities are taken as weights the index is

 

               P01L =

 

 

b)    Paasche’s method

The current year quantities are taken as a weight. In this method, we use continuously revised weights and thus this method is not frequently used when the number of commodities is large. The Index is

 

               P01P =

 

c)     Dorbish and Bowley’s method

In order in take into account the impact of both the base and current year, we make use of simple arithmetic mean of Laspeyre’s and Paasche’s formula. The index is

                    P01DB =

                              =

d)    Fisher’s ideal method

It is the geometric mean of Laspeyre’s Index and Paasche’s Index, given by:

                                P01F =

                                        =  

e)      Marshall-Edgeworth method

In this method also the current year as well as base year prices and quantities are considered. The Index is

 

                      P01ME =

 

                                 =

f)     Kelly’s method

  The Kelly’s Index is

 

                     P01K =                                 

 

Where, q refers to quantity of some period, not necessarily of the mean of the base year and current year. It is also possible to use average quantity of two or more years as weights. This method is known as fixed weight aggregative index.

 

Example 3. Construct weighted aggregate index numbers of price from the following data by applying

1.     Laspeyre’s method

2.     Paasche’s method

3.     Dorbish and Bowley’s method

4.     Fisher’s ideal method

5.     Marshall-Edgeworth method

 

 

Commodity

2016

2017

Price

Quantity

Price

Quantity

A

2

8

4

6

B

5

10

6

5

C

4

14

5

10

D

2

19

2

13

 

Solution: calculation of various indices

 

Commodity

2016

2017

 

p1q0

 

p0q0

 

p1q1

 

p0q1

Price (p0)

Quantity (q0)

Price (p1)

Quantity (q1)

A

2

8

4

6

32

16

24

12

B

5

10

6

5

60

50

30

25

C

4

14

5

10

70

56

50

40

D

2

19

2

13

38

38

26

26

 

 

 

 

 

∑p1q0=200

∑p0q0=160

∑p1q1=130

∑p0q1=103

 

 

(1)  Laspeyre’s method

 

P01L =

      

       =  

     

       = 125

(2)  Paasche’s method

 

P01P =

 

        =

        

        = 126.21

(3)  Dorbish and Bowley’s method

              P01DB =

           =

 

         = 125.6

(4)  Fisher’s Ideal index

P01F =                                                           

   

      =                         

                 = 125.61

(5)  Marshall-Edgeworth method

 

P01ME =

        

        =

        

        =

       

         = 125.48  

 

Commodity

 

Quantity

Price

2007

2010

X

25

3

4

Y

12

5

7

Z

10

6

5

Example 4. Calculate a suitable price index form the following data.

 

Solution:  In this problem, the quantities for both current year and base year are same. Hence, we can conclude Kelly’s Index price number.

 

 

Commodity

 

Quantity

(q)

Price

 

p0q

 

p1q

2007

(p0)

2010

(p1)

X

25

3

4

75

100

Y

12

5

7

60

84

Z

10

6

5

60

50

 

 

 

 

∑p0q=195

∑p1q=234

 

    P01K =

           =

             = 120

Weighted Average of Price Relative Method

The price relatives for the current year are calculated on the basis of the base year prices. These price relative are multiplied by the respective weights of the items. These products are added up and then divided by the sum of weights.

                    P01 =

           Where, p =  is the price relative index

                        w =  is value weights

Here also, we may use either Arithmetic mean or Geometric mean for the purpose of averaging weighted price relatives.

               i.         The weighted average price relatives using arithmetic mean:

P01 =  = P01 =

 

              ii.         The weight average price relatives using geometric mean:

P01 = antilog

 Example 5. Compute price index for the following data by applying weighted average of price relatives method using (i) Arithmetic mean and (ii) Geometric mean.

 

Commodity

 

Quantity

Price (Nu)

2011

2019

X

20

3

4

Y

40

1.5

1.6

Z

10

1

1.5

    Solution:

 

item

Quantity

(q0)

Price (Nu)

W

(p0q0)

P

 

Log p

 

pw

 

w log p

2011 (p0)

2019 (p1)

X

20

3

4

60

133.3

2.1249

8000

127.494

Y

40

1.5

1.6

60

106.7

2.0282

6400

121.692

Z

10

1

1.5

10

150

2.1761

1500

21.761

 

 

 

 

∑w=130

 

 

∑pw=15900

∑wlogp=270.947

 

(i)             Computation for the weighted average of price relatives using arithmetic mean.

P01 =

 

      =

     

      = 122.31

This means that there has been a 22.31% increase in prices over the base year.

 

(ii)           Index number using geometric mean of price relatives is:

 

P01 = antilog

 

      = antilog

 

       = antilog (2.084)

 

       = 121.3

This means that there has been a 21.3% increase in prices over base year.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TESTS OF ADEQUANCY FOR CONSTRUCTION OF INDEX NUMBER

1.     Method of Constructing Test of Adequacy

The following tests can be applied to find out the adequacy of an index number.

 

1)    Unite Test

Formula for construction of index numbers should not be affected by the unit in which prices or quantities have been quoted. For example, in the group of commodities, while the price of wheat might be in Kgs., that of vegetable oil may be quoted in per liter and toilet soap may be per unit.

        X   Not satisfied by Simple (unweighted) Aggregative index formula

                     (As units play an important part in determining value of in the index.)

               All other formulae discussed above satisfy this test.

 

2)     Time Reversal Test

The time reversal test is used to test whether a give method will work both backwards and forwards with respect to time.

                                                                         

                                                                                      Forward

 

           Backward

Formula is such that it gives the same ratio between one point of comparison and another no matter which of the two is taken as base.

 The time reversal test may be stated more precisely as follows-

·       If the time subscripts of a price (or quantity) index number formula be interchanged, the resulting price (or quantity) formula should be reciprocal of the original formula.

i.e. if p0 represents price of year 2011 and  p1 represents price at year 2012 i.e.

  should be equal to 

 

Symbolically, the following relation should be satisfied

 , omitting the factor 100 from both the indices.

     Where, p01 is index for current year ‘1’ based on base year ‘0’

                   P10 is index for year ‘0’ based on year ‘1’.

·       The methods which satisfy the following test are:

1.     Simple aggregate index

2.     Simple geometric mean of price relative

3.     Weighted geometric mean of price relative with fixed weights

4.     Kelly’s fixed weight formula

5.     Fisher’s ideal formula

6.     Marshall-Edgeworth formula

 

Proof:

Fisher’s Price Number:

P01   =     (omitting the factor 100)

Interchange ,    p0                                                 p1

                                     p1                                                 p0

                           q0                                                      q1

                                          q1                                                     q0

P10   =    

         

  

  

   =   = 1

 Hence the test is satisfied.

·        This test is not satisfied by Laspeyre’s method and Paasche’s  method as

(i)    When Laspeyre’s Method is used

(ii)  When Paasche’s Method is used

 

3)    Factor Reversal Test

Product of a price index and the quantity index should be equal to the corresponding value index.

 

          If, Price of commodity is doubled

              Quantity of commodity is tripled

  Total change in value should be six times

  

X   Not satisfied by rest of the method

     Consider the Laspeyre’s formula of price index

Consider the quantity index by interchange ‘p’ with ‘p’ and ‘q’ with ‘p

Now   

This test is not met.

This test is only satisfied by Fisher’s ideal index

Proof:

P01   =    

Changing ‘p’ to ‘q’ and ‘q’ to ‘p’ we got

Q10   =    

Thus Fisher’s Ideal Index satisfies Factor Reversal Test.

4)    Circular Test

Circular test is an extension of time reversal test for more than two periods and is based on shift ability of the base period.

It is an extension of time reversal test (which is of two years.)

     If we consider 3 years

      2012 with base year 2011                             P01

2011 with base year 2010                             P12

Then we ought to get same result if we had directly calculated index for 2012 with the base year 2010                             P20

Symbolically,

                       

 

This test is satisfied only by the following index numbers formulas-

1)    Simple aggregative index

 

 

2)    Kelly’s fixed base method

 

X       The test is not satisfied by Fisher’s Ideal index’

Example 6. Form the following data proves that Fisher’s Ideal index satisfies time reversal test and factor reversal test.

 

Item

2010

2011

Price

Quantity

Price

Quantity

A

6

50

10

60

B

2

100

2

120

C

4

60

6

60

 

Solution:

 

item

2010

2011

 

p1q0

 

p0q0

 

p1q1

 

p0q1

Price(p0)

Quantity(q0)

Price(p1)

Quantity(q1)

A

6

50

10

60

500

300

600

360

B

2

100

2

120

200

200

240

240

C

4

60

6

60

360

240

360

240

 

 

 

 

 

∑p1q0=1060

∑p0q0=740

∑p1q1=1200

∑p0q1=840

 

1.     Calculation of Fisher’s Ideal index to prove time reversal time

Fisher’s price index

 

P01 =   

 

 

Fisher’s price index

 

P10 = 

 

Time reveral test is satisfied when

 

 =

 

=

=   = 1

Since  hence Fisher’s ideal index is satisfies time reversal test.

2.     Calculation of Fisher’s ideal index to prove factor reversal test

              Fisher’s quantity index

 

Q10 = 

 

Factor reversal test is satisfied when

 

  

 

=

 

=

 

=

 

Value index =   = 

               Hence Fisher’s ideal index satisfies factor reversal test

 

 


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